NFL Week 4 odds picks Eagles slow down surging Jaguars Bills cover on the road in Baltimore

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Water is starting to find its level. After a couple of tough weeks in our locks section, we've broken through the ceiling and pulled out a strong 4-1  Cameron Maybin Jersey ATS mark in Week 3. Cincinnati got right against New York, Detroit covered in Minnesota and the and both pulled out road wins. Our lone mi s was admittedly our toughest game to peg, as we anticipated playing in this game (which he did) and the edging out the traveling Jags (which they did not).Still, that's a solid start as we turn the tide on a sluggish start to the year. Now we'll look to build on that momentum as we look towards Week 4, where there are a number of fascinating games on the slate. Of course, you'll see all of my picks for each game this week below, as well as a full breakdown highlighting my five locks of the week.Regular seasonLocks of the Week ATS: 6-9ATS:20-27-1ML:24-24    Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Jacksonville Jaguars         Moneyline Spread Total  PHI   JAC     I'm highly encouraged by how the Jaguars have looked to begin the season, and I still think there is some value in them to win the AFC South at +200 and especially with Doug Pederson to COY at +600. They are coming off an impre sive win on the road against the Chargers and could very well be 3-0 to start the year. That said, I'm fading them this week for a team that I believe is a legitimate Super Bowl threat in the Eagles.As impre sive as has been as a pa ser (340 yards and three pa sing touchdowns last week), their defense is what's making them particularly dangerous. Philadelphia was able to sack nine times last week. Over the last two games, Nick Sirianni's defense has allowed just 15 total points and is 2-0 ATS. Getting them under a touchdown at Lincoln Financial Field (one of the better home-field advantages in the NFL) is the way to lean here, no matter how high I may be on Jacksonville's long-term prospects.  Projected score:Eagles 30, Jaguars 20The pick:Eagles -6.5    Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks   Brandon Phillips Jersey        Moneyline Spread Total  DET   SEA     The Lions have been a fantastic bet under head coach Dan Campbell. Throughout his tenure dating back to last season, Detroit has covered 70% of its games and is 3-0 ATS to begin the 2022 campaign. The Lions play each opponent tough and probably should have pulled out a win last week in Minnesota. This week, they get an easier opponent in the Seahawks, who are 0-2 after upsetting the in an emotional Week 1 matchup at home.Even with star running back po sibly , there is a clear mismatch between Detroit's offense and Seattle's defense. The Lions offense ranks seventh in the league in DVOA, while the Seahawks defense ranks 30th in the NFL. Detroit's defense hasn't been anything to write home about, either, but its offensive ceiling is higher in my eyes than what the Seahawks will be bringing to Ford Field.Projected scoreions 27, Seahawks 21The pickions -4.5         Pick Six Newsletter   Crafted By The Best NFL Experts   Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings.     I agree to receive the "ick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies.  By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's .                 Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe.       Thanks for signing up!   Keep an eye on your inbox.     Sorry!   There was an error proce sing your subscription.         Featured Game | Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills         Moneyline Spread Total  BAL   BUF     This could very well  Nolan Ryan Jersey be an AFC Championship preview considering how both quarterbacks have played to begin the season. Buffalo is coming off its first lo s of the season in a weird outing against the where it e sentially led in every major statistical category outside of the scoreboard. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson willed his team to a win against the in Foxborough, but that was a much more competitive game than the final score indicated. Baltimore's defense still has some major holes in it and was gashed on deep balls by pretty consistently. Yes, it picked off the Pats quarterback three times, but  Jared Walsh Jersey I almost put that more on simply bad throws by Jones than anything Ravens defensive backs forced. Buffalo is a much different animal offensively and could leave them in the dust if everyone is healthy. Health will be a big caveat for this game as the Bills entire secondary is banged up, but if they can get back (foot), that would help solidify things on the back end.   Projected score:Bills 28, Ravens 24The pick:Bills -3    Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins         Moneyline Spread Total  CIN   MIA     This feels like I'm falling into the Justin Herbert trap of last week again, but I feel like is going to play Thursday in Cincinnati. Even if he doesn't, is a fine backup that shouldn't turn the ball over. Taking advantage of turnovers is what jolted the Bengals to victory last week, as they scored 13 points off turnovers in a 27-12 win over the . This game should be much closer, and I have my concerns about how the Bengals secondary will be able to contain the speeders that Miami is bringing offensively. In a tight game on a short week, I'll snag the points with Miami, even if Cincinnati finds a way to win. Projected score:Bengals 24, Dolphins 23The pickolphins +4    Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders         Moneyline Spread Total  DAL   WAS     The Cowboys are rising to the occasion and playing well in the absence of , as they are now 2-0 in the games started by this season. Not only has he played well and kept the offense afloat, but Dallas' defense continues to look like a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks. The Cowboys defense ranks sixth in the NFL in DVOA against the pa s and has consistently applied pre sure on the quarterback. Carson Wentz is coming off a nine-sack game against the Eagles in Week  Chris Young Jersey 3, and that could continue in this NFC East showdown. Washington's offense has also looked suspect, ranking 29th in the NFL in yards per play. Dallas should get a win at home by more than a field goal.Projected score:Cowboys 24, Commanders 17The pick:Cowboys -3 at (London)Projected score:Vikings 27, Saints 24The pick:Vikings -2.5   at FalconsProjected score:Browns 27, Falcons 23The pick:Browns -1.5 at Projected score:Colts 28, Titans 24The pick:Colts -4 at Projected score:Giants 23, Bears 17The pick:Giants -3.5Jets at Projected score:Steelers 24, Jets 20The pick:Steelers -3.5Chargers at Projected score:Chargers 27, Texans 21The pick:Chargers -5 at Projected scoreanthers 27, Cardinals 24The pickanthers -2Patriots at Projected scoreackers 28, Patriots 17The pickackers -10Broncos at Projected score:Broncos 23, Raiders 21The pick:Broncos +2 at Projected score:Buccaneers 27, Chiefs 24The pick:Buccaneers +2.5  Rams at Projected score:49ers 23, Rams 21The pick:Rams +2.5
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