NFL Week 17 picks best bets Cowboys blow out Titans Bills end Bengals win streak

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We did not have a very Merry Christmas, hitting just one of our top five bets. The aren't who we thought they were, the lost at home in the coldest game of the season, poor second half gave the game to the and needed overtime to beat . Shoutout to the for actually taking care of busine s in Week 16.This week, the Packers look to Juan Hernangomez Jersey  keep things rolling against the , the attempt to get back on track against the and then and the Bengals host and the . Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 37-42-1Overall ATS record: 118-115-7Straight up record: 155-83-22022 Gambling trendsHome teams: 120-115-5 (51%)Underdogs: 126-108-5 (54%)Unders: 131-107-2 (55%)  Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET ()    Featured Game | Tenne see Titans vs. Dallas Cowboys         Moneyline Spread Total  TEN   DAL     I'm not sure how much detail I have to go into here. The Titans are a gritty team, and that grittine s earned them the No. 1 seed in the AFC last season despite Tenne see playing with an NFL-record different amount of players due to injury. This season, the Titans just couldn't overcome that adversity. is a very raw rookie quarterback operating behind a terrible offensive line, and he has a subpar wide receiving corps and offensive coordinator to work with. The defense plays tough, but they are injured just about everywhere. Throw in the fact that this game virtually doesn't matter at all for Tenne see, and we are looking at a blowout.The pick:Cowboys -12.5Projected score:Cowboys 30-14Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, )    Featured Game | New York Giants  Josh Okogie Jersey vs. Indianapolis Colts         Moneyline Spread Total  NYG   IND     The Colts' season is done, and they have moved onto their third starting quarterback of the season. historically owns the Giants (3-0), but he looked terrible against the last week, throwing for 143 yards and three interceptions. With Indy starting Foles at quarterback and not having , I'm comfortable taking the Giants to cover the number. looked pretty good against the Vikings last week. He completed over 71 percent of his pa ses for 334 yards, one touchdown and one interception, and is shifting the narrative on himself as a player. I'm also super intrigued by , a Giants wideout who could step up down this final stretch. He's caught three touchdowns over the last four games, and caught 8-of-11 targets for 89 yards and one touchdown last week against Minnesota.  Basically, the Giants just need to show up at home, and they clinch a playoff spot. The Colts defense isn't bad, but the Giants should win this game by more than six points.The pick:Giants -6Projected score:Giants 23-13Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, )    Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Cleveland Browns         Moneyline Spread Total  WAS   CLE     I, for one, am disgusted with the Browns. They had their backs against the wall on their home field in the freezing weather facing off against a team that plays more than half of their season indoors ... and lost. Robert Covington Jersey  Now that the Browns have been eliminated from playoff contention, why should I pick them against Washington on the road? The Commanders are in control of their own destiny with the No. 7 seed, so this game is important. An important game is not the best time to change quarterbacks, but that's what Ron Rivera is doing. was benched for during the 17-point lo s to the after back-to-back turnovers. However, Heinicke brought Washington's season back to life, going 5-3-1 as the starter. Wentz has gone 2-4 as the starter this year. That's not to say Wentz is terrible and offers nothing to this offense; it's just a curious decision that will draw the ire/attention of everyone around the NFL if Washington drops this game. With the number being so low, I'm going to ride with the Commanders.  The Browns offense has been the lowest-scoring offense since took over. While Cleveland has an effective ground game, Washington has one of the best defensive lines in the NFL, and held to just 46 rushing yards last week.The pick:Commanders -2Projected score:Commanders 24-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, )    Featured James Johnson Jersey  Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints         Moneyline Spread Total  PHI   NO     The Saints have the worst scoring offense in the NFL since Week 9 (14.9 points per game). They've toughed out two wins in a row against le ser opponents, but now they get one of the best teams in the NFL on the road. The Eagles can clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a win here, and ultimately, that's what I think happens.It's not guaranteed will play this week, but to be honest with you, I'm not sure it matters. threw for 355 yards and two touchdowns against the Cowboys last week, and helped put up 34 points. He did also have two interceptions, but they weren't egregious throws. This team has enough talent to put up points with either Hurts or Minshew under center.  The pick:Eagles -6Projected score: Eagles 28-20Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN, )    Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills         Moneyline Spread Total  CIN   BUF       You gotta love it. This is the first career matchup between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow, and both quarterbacks enter Week 17 red-hot. Buffalo is on a six-game winning streak, and Cincy is on a seven-game winning streak. Both the Bills and Bengals have defeated the this season, which means the winner of this matchup will have beaten the two best teams in the conference.The Naz Reid Jersey  Bengals haven't lost since Halloween, but they haven't been perfect. They fell behind, 17-0, to the before reeling off a big comeback, and then allowed 18 unanswered from the Patriots last week. The Bengals are an incredible 12-3 ATS this season, but with this line being a single point, I'm going with the team with the better SU record.The pick:Bills -1Projected score:Bills 30-27 21-20 over (+3.5) (-4.5) 26-16 over Lions (-6) 31-24 over  (+3) 28-23 over BuccaneersPatriots (-3) 27-21 over DolphinsChiefs 30-20 over (+12.5)49ers (-10) 26-13 over  (+1.5) 27-24 over Packers 23-21 over Vikings (+3.5)Chargers 28-24 over (+6.5) (-2.5) 20-16 over
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